Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028 96.6%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado31/10/23, 19:39 UTC1/01/28, 10:59 UTC
Tendências
0.2%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurRegras
This is a "market for markets".
- Artemis III is the only crewed Moon landing scheduled for before 2028, but there have been fears that if Starship is delayed the mission may not fly.
- The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/jack/will-starship-reach-space-in-2023)(https://manifold.markets/embed/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20)
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
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- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
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- Volume 24h
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
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KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028 em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a "market for markets".