Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 72.6%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado18/12/23, 12:46 UTC1/03/55, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2055.
- The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
- The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88
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Mercados abertos
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- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055? é resolvido?
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2055.
- Como Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2055.