Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 82.2%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado21/12/23, 17:59 UTC1/03/40, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2040.
- The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
- The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-42027c4cebd3 (this question)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040? é resolvido?
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2040.
- Como Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2040.