Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
IAOne-OffTecnologiaCiência8aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 43 minutos
11/12/24, 15:42 UTC31/12/34, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By 2035, what whacky types of cultivated/lab-grown meat will be commercially available?
Manifold MarketsHIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?
Manifold Markets1 million qubits when?
Manifold MarketsWill IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market tracks the development of large-scale quantum computers.
- Resolution requires official announcement and commercial availability of a quantum computer with >1M qubits, verified by major tech publications.
- https://quantumcomputingforbusiness.com/essentials/timelines/
