Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
ChinaOne-Off2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 82.5%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado24/10/23, 07:32 UTC31/12/26, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PolymarketChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
- Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
- Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
- Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
