Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
ChinaOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 83.6%
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5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado24/10/23, 07:40 UTC31/12/39, 15:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
- Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
- Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
- Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? é resolvido?
- Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2039.
- Como Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force