Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocrats 60.3%-0.1ptLíder entre 14 opções
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado12/06/25, 12:476/11/28, 23:59
Tendências
0.1%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democrats60%
Comparar plataformas· Democrats
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h
Também disponível em Polymarket
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.5 pts2a
+0.5pt59%
41%
0%
+12 mais resultados
87 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1,7 M €
Volume 24h6,9 mil €
POLYMARKET
Também disponível em PredictIt
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
3a
57%
46%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$2526 de jul.3d de dados28 de jul.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.