Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 61.2%
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19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado20/10/24, 11:02 UTC21/01/29, 21:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Will resolve based off of Wikipedia determination of election winner, if unclear due to electoral college tie or lack of electoral college majority it will resolve based on whoever is inaugurated after the 2028 presidential election
- In the rare likelihood that the 2028 is not a clear "democrats vs republicans" eg. the GOP splits into a trump faction and non trump faction, I'll resolve according to the endorsement of the previous president (meaning if trump wins in 2024 and backs some outside candidate in the 2028 general election that doesn't carry the GOP tag, for this to resolve to yes the trump backed outsider would need to win)
