Previsão da comunidade atual
Democrats 60.5%+0.3ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
66
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado27/01/25, 17:21 UTC8/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.
- Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
Mercados abertos
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Democrats em 61% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? é resolvido?
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 8 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.