PredictItVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução não verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidade implícita atual
Democratic 58%
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
-
Volume 24h
33,8 €
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
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PredictItRegras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Democratic é de 67%. As cotações diferem cerca de 9 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas. As plataformas não concordam sobre qual resultado está à frente.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic 67% · 2 plataformas · 9 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- A PredictIt cota Democratic em 58% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? é liquidado?
- A PredictIt liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Onde mais Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Kalshi.