Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolítica2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualEritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight. 67.8%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado20/02/26, 13:36 UTC31/12/26, 13:34 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the outcome of a hypothetical military conflict between the Ethiopian Defense Force (ENDF) and an alliance of the Eritrean Defense Forces (EDF) and Tigray Defense Force (TDF).
- Resolution will be determined by a poll voted on by market participants, as the outcome of a future conflict cannot be objectively verified through external sources.
- Traders should vote based on their assessment of which side would achieve military victory in such a scenario.
- Eritrea has formed an alliance of convenience with the TPLF since early 2025 despite their historic animosity.
- This represents a dramatic shift from the 2020-2022 Tigray War, when forces allied with the Ethiopian federal government and Eritrea fought against the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF).
