Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 56.8%
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35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado17/06/24, 09:01 UTC1/01/70, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves the same as the original question on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/20588)Resolution Criteria
- For the purposes of this question, "Western" countries will be defined as the following:
- Austria Belgium Canada Croatia Czechia Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Great Britain Hungary Iceland Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Netherlands Poland Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United States of America Australia New Zealand
- For the purpose of this question, "engage in a war" will be defined as one or more of the following being true:
- One Western country formally declares war on another Western country, or announces that it is in a state of war with that nation.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070? é resolvido?
- Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2070.
- Como Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves the same as the original question on Metaculus.