Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
0.2 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202620d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocrats Sweep 63.1%-0.2ptLíder entre 5 opções
Previsores
218
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-2.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
21/07/25, 23:47 UTC4/11/26, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
KalshiWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsFlorida Governor winner?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiNY-03 House winner?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve based on the outcome of the 2026 United States midterm elections.
- A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it secures a majority of voting seats.
- A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds:
- A majority of voting Senate seats, or
- Exactly half of the seats plus the Vice Presidency (which casts tie-breaking votes).
- A candidate’s party affiliation is determined by how they are listed on the ballot or their clearly identifiable public affiliation at the time the 2026 midterm results are called.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 61%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 62%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 59%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 62%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms? · Democratic House and Senate 63%
