What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic House and Senate 42.4%-0.3%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
99
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado15/11/24, 22:374/11/26, 5:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democratic House and Senate42%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic House, Republican Senate
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral85% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 46% | — | 54,3 mil € | 4,5 M € | há 7 minutos | Abrir → |
 Polymarket88% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 44% | — | 10,4 mil € | 824,3 mil € | há 13 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 44% | — | — | — | há 2 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 44% | — | — | — | há 8 horas | |
 PredictIt92% de correspondência · verificado | — | 41% | — | — | — | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 mais resultados
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambém disponível em Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3m
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 mais resultados
89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total7,5 M €
Volume 24h10,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6m
+3.0%46%
-1.0%17%
-0.1%2%
+1 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total7 M €
Volume 24h54,3 mil €
KALSHITambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3m
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade128 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1610 de jul.3d de dados12 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Presidential Election Winner 2028
876,4 mil €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
668,7 mil €Gavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
99,7 mil €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Senate Majority Leader?
37,3 mil €John Thune: 37%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
18,3 mil €Karen Bass: 63%KALSHI
KALSHI
TN-09 Democratic nominee?
12,5 mil €Justin Pearson: 97%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsRegras
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.