What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20268d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:54 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Democratic House and Senate 66.3%Líder entre 5 opções
Democratic House and Senate 66.3%Previsores
110
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+5.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado15/11/24, 22:37 UTC4/11/26, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiBalance of power after the 2028 elections
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
- In that case, the market will resolve to "Other" or an option stating that no party has the majority in the chamber if such an option has been added.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 65%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 63%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 64%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 66%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
