Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualUkraine 21%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 15:57 UTC31/03/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiRegras
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
- Which country will be the #1 largest arms importer in the world in 2026, according to data published by SIPRI?
- SIPRI typically updates annual arms import figures each March with an accompanying report (the most recent report was published Mar 2026, see also Mar 2025, Mar 2024, Mar 2023).
- SIPRI's arms import figures are available on their database.
- To get the data for last year, use their Import/Export top list function with the period set to 2025-2025.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Ukraine em 21% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? é resolvido?
- Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2027.
- Como Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).