When will the US enact a universal basic income of at least $500/month per adult?
InflaçãoOne-OffPolítica comercialPolíticaEleiçãoManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNot by the end of 2050 75.1%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado30/09/26, 00:07 UTC1/01/51, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves to the calendar-year bucket (Eastern Time) in which the US enacts a federal universal basic income, as defined below.
- The buckets roughly follow presidential terms.
- If none is enacted by December 31, 2050, it resolves to "the named outcome".
- I'll resolve early as soon as a qualifying law is enacted.
- What counts.
- A federal statute that becomes law (signed by the President, passed over a veto, or enacted without signature) and creates or amends a cash payment program so that it meets all five conditions:
