Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualQ4 2026 47.9%+30.4ptLíder entre 14 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+30.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
20/09/26, 21:12 UTC1/01/30, 08:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
When will Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) announce thier first model? Resolves to the date of the official announcement on https://ssi.inc/updates.
- Only one answer resolves YES.
- Quarters are defined as follows:
- Q1: January 1 – March 31
- Q2: April 1 – June 30
- Q3: July 1 – September 30
Mercados abertos
AI
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- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
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POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
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- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
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KALSHIBest AI this week
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- ChatGPT0.9%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will SSI announce a model??
- A Manifold Markets cota Q4 2026 em 48% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will SSI announce a model? é resolvido?
- When will SSI announce a model? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como When will SSI announce a model? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: When will Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) announce thier first model? Resolves to the date of the official announcement on https://ssi.inc/updates.