Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNot before 2027 97%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
41
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado16/10/23, 07:49 UTC31/12/26, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
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0.1%
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KalshiRegras
other = before 2024
- Will look at the stat page.
- If it reads 100k, resolves to the relevant bucket.
- I don't plan on doing detective work if it's manipulated.
- Having said that, if a considerable amount of traffic is fraudulent (e.g., 20%) I will possibly delay resolution to make necessary adjustments for blatant-bulk-manipulation.
- I'm not excluding alts, 10 person bot farms, whatever
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders??
- A Manifold Markets cota Not before 2027 em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders? é resolvido?
- When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: other = before 2024