Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.1%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 22:46 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on publicly reported figures from Anthropic and OpenAI, or credible third-party sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Verge.
- As of April 2026, ChatGPT has ~900M weekly active users vs Claude's ~18.9M monthly active users.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.