When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4??

A Manifold Markets cota Q3-Q4 2024 em 89.2% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4? é resolvido?

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.

Como When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: "Better" is a moving target since LLMs tend to be compared on large suites of tasks and datasets, and over time the consensus of effective benchmarks changes.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt88.7%
• Anthropic+1.8pt10.3%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

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Volume total

€ 3,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 137,9 mil

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt22%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.2pt17%

+7 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+8.0pt83%
• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• November 30,-2.0pt60%

+9 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.2pt55.5%
• Gemini-3.4pt31.8%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt53.5%
• Google-3.0pt36.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 mais resultados

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

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