Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore November 2026 73.9%Líder entre 15 opções
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
8/08/25, 19:50 UTC31/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Qwen 4.0', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Qwen 4, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @OchSUnInIq (this market)
Mercados abertos
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- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
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- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date?
- A Manifold Markets cota Before November 2026 em 74% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date é resolvido?
- Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date deverá ser resolvido em 31 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Minor changes to the name, such as 'Qwen 4.0', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Qwen 4, will count for the purpose of this market.