Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2026 43.8%Líder entre 8 opções
2026 43.8%Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+3.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado11/01/24, 01:34 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
The resolve year will be the year I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion.
- I will try my best to be impartial, and I will use my judgement.
- (edit: once I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, I will conduct a poll on Manifold asking if AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, and resolve Yes to the year if the poll has more vote on Yes than No)