Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2026 47.4%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado11/01/24, 01:34 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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The resolve year will be the year I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion.
- I will try my best to be impartial, and I will use my judgement.
- (edit: once I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, I will conduct a poll on Manifold asking if AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, and resolve Yes to the year if the poll has more vote on Yes than No)
Mercados abertos
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- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2026 em 47% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold? é resolvido?
- When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The resolve year will be the year I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion.