Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualWill take France but ultimately be defeated 68.2%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado18/10/26, 13:33 UTC10/11/26, 22:00 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately describes the outcome of Matt's 3rd campaign/playthrough as Germany once the game concludes or reaches a decisive end state.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Germany fails to capitulate/conquer France primarily due to Callum's Royal Air Force (RAF) interception, air superiority, or defense preventing the invasion.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Germany successfully captures or capitulates France, but the Axis/German side is ultimately defeated before winning the game.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Matt achieves a recognized victory condition for Germany/the Axis according to the rules of the game being played.
- Draw: Resolves YES if the players mutually agree to a stalemate or the game engine/rules formally designate the match as a draw.