Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualHe will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator 89.6%Líder entre 11 opções
Previsores
41
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado4/05/24, 02:42 UTC31/12/26, 10:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.
- If there's not a generally accepted person but there is a generally accepted company this resolves to the CEO of that company.
- If there is neither a generally accepted person, nor a generally accepted company, these may resolve to prob according to the characteristics of the various candidates.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 75,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 61,5 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,8 mi
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 61,1 mil
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- A Manifold Markets cota He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator em 90% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be true about the person who creates AGI? é resolvido?
- What will be true about the person who creates AGI? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como What will be true about the person who creates AGI? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.