Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNo genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention 28.5%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado22/08/25, 13:55 UTC1/01/40, 14:52 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves when the ICJ issues its final merits Judgment in Case 192, “Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
- Israel).” Source for resolution: the ICJ case page (Judgment document once posted). https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- Exactly one option resolves Yes, using this precedence:
- Genocide — If the Court finds Israel internationally responsible for committing genocide under Article II (by its organs/agents or conduct attributable to the state), this option resolves Yes; all others No. Resolution is based solely on the final Judgment’s dispositive paragraphs. https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- the named outcome — If the Court finds any breach other than Article III(c) (e.g., failure to prevent or punish genocide under Article I, complicity Art.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- A Manifold Markets cota No genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention em 29% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case é resolvido?
- What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria