Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualLabour 35%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado3/05/25, 06:26 UTC15/08/29, 06:18 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRegras
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election
- This market will resolve to the percentage of seats for each party.
- In 2024 Labour won 411 seats (out of 650), so their answer would resolve to 63% I hope that's clear.
- If a party wins less than 1% of seats they will resolve to 0%, no rounding up in that case!