What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71.2%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado29/08/26, 08:29 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market resolves to YES if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine is signed by both belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran achieves the same.
- This market resolves to NO if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran is signed by the required belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine achieves the same.
- Signatory & Conflict Scope
- Russia–Ukraine: Must be signed by the executive leadership or authorized plenipotentiaries of both Russia and Ukraine.
- Iran Conflict: Must be signed by the executive leadership or authorized plenipotentiaries of Iran AND either (a) the United States, (b) Israel, or (c) both.
- Signing with one state satisfies the condition provided all hostilities between Iran and that signatory state formally terminate under the treaty terms.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? é resolvido?
- What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves to YES if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine is signed by both belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran achieves the same.