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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold Markets

What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?

PolíticaIAGeopolítica6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls. 95.3%
Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores

15

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 horas

Desatualizado
8/04/26, 0:561/01/27, 1:40

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls.95%

Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
  • If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
  • As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
  • This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
  • President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,515.36-2.55%SolanaSOL$68.30-4.34%EthereumETH$1,692.03-3.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-3.10%BNBBNB$572.41-3.08%AvalancheAVAX$6.03-9.37%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
  • If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
  • As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
  • This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
  • President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.