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  3. Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

2.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle East19d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30
June 30 31%+14.0%
Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

867,4 mil €

Liquidez

230,2 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

6.6% / 6.9%

Spread

4.5%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

9/06/26, 2:0630/06/26, 19:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
June 8
June 8
0%

Resultado escolhido

June 3031%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that no ceasefire between the United States and Iran is in effect between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any US-Iran ceasefire commitment to refrain from military hostilities in effect, including statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement.
  • The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
  • Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify.
  • Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.

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Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that no ceasefire between the United States and Iran is in effect between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any US-Iran ceasefire commitment to refrain from military hostilities in effect, including statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement.
  • The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
  • Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify.
  • Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.