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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

4.8% (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaMiddle East6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Finland
Finland 5%-4.8%
Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

304,7 €

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Compra / Venda

4.0% / 8.7%

Spread

117.5%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

4/12/25, 15:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Finland5%

Regras

If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
  • - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
  • The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
  • - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
  • **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.

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Regras

If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
  • - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
  • The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
  • - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
  • **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.