KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Japan 7%+1.0ptLíder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
135 €
Liquidez
30,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.9 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
4/12/25, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Palestine conflict?
Manifold MarketsWill palestine be totally erased by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiRegras
If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesBBCCNNABCCBSFox NewsMSNBC
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume total
- € 957,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 760,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will recognize Palestine before 2027??
- A Kalshi cota Japan em 7% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? é resolvido?
- Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.