Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 74%
Previsores
192
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado18/02/24, 15:51 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Inspired by this tweet.
- https://x.com/aisafetymemes/status/1759231062646104165?s=46&t=q-Ds0aJ7frdEfqZMJVfhJA
Mercados abertos
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- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
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- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030 é resolvido?
- We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Inspired by this tweet.