Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.8%
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado12/05/25, 19:14 UTC31/12/26, 20:59 UTC
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This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026.
- Must be publicly reported on before the close date to count.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Joint US/Mexican operations: Whether a joint operation counts depends on the level of US involvement, particularly the nationality of the drone operator/launcher (whoever "pushed the button").
- US arms sales/loans to Mexico or US intel provided to Mexico for independent Mexican strikes would not count.
- Mexican-flagged vessels: Strikes on Mexico-flagged vessels do not count as strikes on "Mexican soil" - the term "soil" refers to land only.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? é resolvido?
- US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026.