UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the bank surcharge be raised to 8% or more?
Crime e justiçaOne-OffNegócios e empresasRegulamentaçãoManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (47.9%)
Resolvido: 28 de out. de 2026, 14:04
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 28 de out. de 2026, 20:27 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Tendências
Perdeu
Ganhou
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit?
KalshiWill Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada?
Manifold MarketsWill Billy Evans' company succeed
Manifold MarketsWhen will Suno IPO or get acquired ?
Manifold MarketsPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?
PolymarketJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
The bank corporation tax surcharge is charged at 3% on banks' taxable profits above a £100 million group allowance.
- The Guardian reported on 15 October 2026 that industry figures expect Healey to raise it back to 8%, and Bloomberg reported that a bank tax rise is among the measures submitted to the OBR.
- YES if the Budget sets the surcharge rate at 8% or more, from any date.
- If the surcharge has more than one rate (for example a higher rate on profits above a higher allowance, or different rates for different banks), YES if any of them is 8% or more.
- A rise to a rate below 8% resolves NO, as do changes only to the allowance, changes to the bank levy, and a new tax on bank profits of a different kind.
- The separate bank taxes market resolves YES on a surcharge rise to any rate, a higher bank levy rate, or a new tax on bank profits or reserves, but not on a change only to the allowance.