Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualTesla 65.5%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado26/04/25, 06:27 UTC31/12/26, 06:38 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
Tesla is planning to release self-driving taxis in June.
- Waymo has been scaling their self-driving taxi service for a while.
- This market is to predict, between Waymo and Tesla, which company will first be responsible for a vehicle that is designed to be fully autonomous (i.e. operated with no driver behind the wheel, if there even is a wheel) and is available for public use causing a major accident.
- If the vehicle has a wheel, it must be operating without user input at the time of the crash.
- A major accident must
- Be reported on in at least two major news outlets, AND
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash??
- A Manifold Markets cota Tesla em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash? é resolvido?
- Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Tesla is planning to release self-driving taxis in June.