Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 75.4%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
9/10/25, 23:03 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 125,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
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- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
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KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
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- Volume total
- € 156,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,1 mil
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. é resolvido?
- SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.