Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.6%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado29/09/25, 20:59 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiWill greyhound racing be banned in the US by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiHow much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
KalshiRegras
Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?
- Resolves YES if any of the following are true at 11:59pm on Dec 31, 2026:
- ads are banned by act of Congress
- ads are banned by executive order
- ads are banned by federal regulation
- any of the above bans has been made but is under a judicial stay at the specified time
Mercados abertos
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt94%
- Yes-1.2pt6%
- Volume total
- € 19,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 263 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-12.0pt49%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt88%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt83%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+9.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+6.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 202717%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7 mi
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Volume total
- € 13 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,1 mil
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.1pt62.6%
- 8–11B+6.7pt10.1%
- 11–14B-0.1pt8.1%
+5 mais resultados
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?