Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
One-OffRegulamentaçãoPolíticaUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.5%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado15/02/26, 11:44 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if prediction markets are banned in the United States before 31 December 2026.
- A ban is defined as a federal prohibition that prevents the operation of prediction market platforms or makes it illegal for U.S. residents to trade on prediction markets.
- State-level bans or restrictions do not trigger a YES resolution.
- The market resolves NO if prediction markets continue to operate legally under federal CFTC oversight through 31 December 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the CFTC, Congress, or federal courts establishing a nationwide ban.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria