KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 5% 95%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
35 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
381,7 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
14/07/26, 00:00 UTC1/07/27, 13:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)
- The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data.
- Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C. If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 15% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 20% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13,1 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- € 19,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,7 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+7.0pt98%
- Above 6000+4.0pt62%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 904,2 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- No-2.0pt95%
- Yes+2.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 513,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,1 mil
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Nigeria+17.0pt20%
- Rwanda13%
- Republic of the Congo7%
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,9 mil
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
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- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027??
- A Kalshi cota Above 5% em 95% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027? é resolvido?
- How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
- Como How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.