Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: More than 50 (99%)
Resolvido: 18 de ago. de 2026, 01:54
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualMore than 50 99%+1.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado anteontem
Desatualizado22/12/25, 4:2418/08/26, 1:54
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
00.1%
1-50.1%
6-100.6%
11-500.2%
More than 5099%
99%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Regras
What counts is the problem marked as being resolved in https://www.erdosproblems.com
- Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing clarification: The market will resolve based on when problems are marked as resolved on the Erdös Problems website in 2026, regardless of when the actual mathematical solution was discovered or published.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 255,6 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 143,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 130,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,8 mi
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota More than 50 em 99% em 19 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026 é resolvido?
- Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 18 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: What counts is the problem marked as being resolved in https://www.erdosproblems.com