Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMarch 31, 2027 66.2%+16.2ptLíder entre 4 opções
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+16.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
21/09/26, 08:32 UTC14/04/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
PolymarketWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsRegras
These markets will resolve identically to these ones, on Polymarket: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by the named outcome?
- On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: 404 - Page not foundplayShow navigation menuplaysearchsearchblinking-dotfacebooktwitteryoutubeinstagram-colored-outlinerssblueskytiktok-colored-outline
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 483,5 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt63%
- October 31+3.0pt39%
- September 30+1.0pt10%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+2.2pt98%
- September 25+9.3pt97%
- September 23+11.5pt86%
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume total
- € 58,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 163 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.4pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volume total
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- A Manifold Markets cota March 31, 2027 em 66% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket] é resolvido?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket] deverá ser resolvido em 14 de abril de 2027.
- Como Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: These markets will resolve identically to these ones, on Polymarket: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by the named outcome?