Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 50%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado7/09/26, 14:36 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
The current record is MoM-z14, a galaxy at redshift z=14.44.
- Its light traveled 13.5 billion years to reach us, and is now 33.8 billion light years away (space expands)
- It appears as it was 280 million years after the big bang
- Resolves YES if a galaxy with a spectroscopic redshift above 14.44 is reported before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolution follows the List of the most distant astronomical objects - Wikipedia - confirmed objects section.
- If that entry shows z>14.44 and cites a published paper or preprint, this resolves YES.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 50% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 é resolvido?
- New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The current record is MoM-z14, a galaxy at redshift z=14.44.