Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBlue wave midterms 74.9%+11.1ptLíder entre 24 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+11.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
21/01/26, 02:56 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.
- Each answer represents one cell on his bingo card.
- Resolution: These markets will resolve as decided by Mr. Beat, should he post a timely update reviewing his predictions.
- If he fails to do so, or if his resolution is unclear, ambiguous, or incomplete, I (@evandaniel assisted by Claude) will do my best to resolve on his behalf.
- 🎬 Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DHSnDvyuJI 🎴 Bingo card viewer: https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/card.html?id=mr-beat-2026
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 125,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 156,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,1 mil
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 mais resultados
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- A Manifold Markets cota Blue wave midterms em 75% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card é resolvido?
- Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.