Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualWorld's First Trillionaire 94.1%Líder entre 25 opções
Previsores
53
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado1/01/26, 00:52 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolves based on what Hank chooses to cross off in his 2026 bingo card video.
- [image] https://www.threads.com/@hankgreen/post/DSdfUMwD7Oa/introducing-my-bingo-card https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ieXl40gO26k
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/ieXl40gO26k)
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 125,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 156,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,1 mil
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 mais resultados
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card?
- A Manifold Markets cota World's First Trillionaire em 94% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card é resolvido?
- Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Hank Green's 2026 Bingo Card é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves based on what Hank chooses to cross off in his 2026 bingo card video.