Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (95.6%)
Resolvido: 20 de ago. de 2026, 14:49
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 95.6%
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado7/04/26, 23:5331/05/26, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes95.6%
No4.400000000000006%
95.6%
4.4%
Regras
This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.
- Trade with caution (I won't trade on this market).
- Context from Reuters.
- Part of Iran's peace proposal is a "Strait of Hormuz fee" that ships need to pay them to pass through the strait.
- This market resolves YES if any ships that passed through the strait on June 1 might need to pay this fee.
- A few details:
Mercados abertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 351 mil
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Volume total
- € 19,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 101,7 mil
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 96% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? é resolvido?
- Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2026.
- Como Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.