Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iran and Israel to establish formal diplomatic relations before the year?

A Manifold Markets cota Before 2040 em 54.7% em 31 de outubro de 2026.

Iran and Israel to establish formal diplomatic relations before the year

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Before 2040 54.7%

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Tipo de pergunta

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Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado

13/01/26, 21:46 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Iran and Israel establish formal diplomatic relations before each year.
Formal diplomatic relations are defined as: the opening of official embassies in each other's capitals, exchange of ambassadors, or an official bilateral agreement explicitly establishing diplomatic ties recognized by both governments and the international community.
Diplomatic relations following regime change will still count.