Deepfakes instantâneos de qualquer pessoa (fazendo qualquer coisa) até o final de 2027?
InflaçãoOne-OffIATecnologia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 78%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado7/12/22, 22:12 UTC1/01/28, 07:59 UTC
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By 2027-12-31, will we be able to synthesize basically any photo from a text description and sample images of people we want in the photo?
- Resolution criteria: I'm doing my best to make this objective by adding to the FAQ below and am hopeful that it won't come down to a judgment call.
- If it does, I'll do my best to gather input and hew to the spirit of the prediction.
- I'm betting in this market myself and promise to be transparent about my reasoning in the comments.
- Does the photo have to be undetectable as AI-generated?
- No, if the photo is perfectly believable on casual inspection but can be determined to be AI-generated with some forensics, that still counts as YES.