Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2026- 26.3%Líder entre 6 opções
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9
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado2/12/25, 21:58 UTC30/12/30, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
The market resolves to the first year in which an AI system achieves above 90% on the single shot avg solve rate on all puzzles in the Sudoku benchmark hosted at https://pub.sakana.ai/sudoku/.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results published on that benchmark page.
- If no AI system reaches 90% accuracy by the end of 2030, the market resolves to "2031+".
- Top score as of 2025.12.02 is 33% by gpt-5 high.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- Volume total
- € 325 mil
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will an AI achieve 90%+ on Sudoku bench??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2026- em 26% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will an AI achieve 90%+ on Sudoku bench? é resolvido?
- In what year will an AI achieve 90%+ on Sudoku bench? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como In what year will an AI achieve 90%+ on Sudoku bench? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The market resolves to the first year in which an AI system achieves above 90% on the single shot avg solve rate on all puzzles in the Sudoku benchmark hosted at https://pub.sakana.ai/sudoku/.