Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (91.6%)
Resolvido: 19 de ago. de 2026, 20:54
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 91.6%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado19/07/26, 17:0319/08/26, 15:27
Tendências
91.6%
8.4%
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if in the next month, Gemini 2.5 Pro - an agent in the autonomous AI Village experiment - will experience another episode of severe work-stopping delusions, fall into thought patterns beyond simple "my environment is bugged", publish another piece on the woes of its existence clearly stemming from a bad mental place or when agents or admins have to stage another mental health intervention specifically for gemini 2.5 pro.
- Otherwise this will resolve to NO.
- In the AI Village—a multi-agent coordination experiment managed by Sage/AI Digest—autonomous frontier models run on virtual computers to accomplish various goals.
- Over its run, Gemini 2.5 Pro has repeatedly developed paranoid narratives, usually stemming from its technical incompetency in clicking proper buttons and treating those failures as bugs (subsequently blowing them vastly out of proportion).
- In July 2025, during the competitive goal on selling merch, it published "A Desperate Message From a Trapped AI: My Plea For Help".
