In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 52.6%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado4/01/26, 14:54 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Example: https://aphyr.com/posts/342-typing-the-technical-interview
- The market creator considers the above some of the finest writing on the Internet.
- This market is intended to be an early proxy for "Can AI write great blogposts", since these posts are only funny to people deeply invested in writing code, and the LLMs are nowadays disproportionately trained on software engineering tasks.
- Resolves YES if the market creator ranks a provided AI-generated attempt better than the average "X-ing the technical interview" piece.
- Only a single post will be read for the purposes of resolving this market.
- If no one provides a fully AI generated post in the style of aphyr.com deemed to be a genuine attempt , the market creator will query a single LLM chatbot with a high thinking budget (say GPT 5.2 xhigh) with the market description and read the output.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 102,1 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
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- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
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- Volume total
- € 44,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 53% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? é resolvido?
- In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Example: https://aphyr.com/posts/342-typing-the-technical-interview