If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
IAManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualThere was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. 30.6%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
229
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado22/02/23, 19:11 UTC1/01/00, 08:00 UTC
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This market resolves once either of the following are true:
- AI seems about as intelligent as it's ever plausibly going to get.
- There appears to be no more significant danger from AI.
- It resolves to the option that seems closest to the explanation of why we didn't all die.
- If multiple reasons seem like they all significantly contributed, I may resolve to a mix among them.
- If you want to know what option a specific scenario would fall under, describe it to me and we'll figure out what it seems closest to.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- A Manifold Markets cota There was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. em 31% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? é resolvido?
- If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2200.
- Como If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves once either of the following are true: